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- Stronger privacy standards: That's an underlying risk in this big mess.
- Simplification: You're very articulate, but boy...this is a tough ecosystem for anyone to follow.
Kidding, this is good stuff regardless and always interested in what you have to say...thats why Im here in the first place.
Good clarification.
1. Though mentioned, I think the role of the various exchanges will be larger than seems to be implied, if only because it's easier for the various DSPs to integrate with a handful of exchanges than dozens of individual networks.
2. The role of creative optimization in the DSP stack should be examined. (I posted about that the other day: http://www.petekim.com/?p=20)
3. What's the pricing model for DSPs? Should they take a percentage of the media buy? Or should they take a flat fee to ensure incentives are aligned?
4. What happens in the end? Let's fast forward 10 years and look around. How many DSPs are left standing? What would it take for a single dominant DSP to emerge? What would it take for the DSP landscape to be wildly fragmented? What controls where we land between these two extremes?
Great breakdown of an increasingly complex and ever evolving side of the industry ......
Do you see this trend being adopted in other markets such as europe and asia soon enough where the ad inventory trading platforms are atleast a generation behind ?
I would say the market is most technologically sophisticated here in the US however as of right now.
As I see it, the real differentiator in the marketplace will be value creation. It's not about ad networks vs. demand platforms. It's about which players (whether they are ad networks, platforms, ad agencies, publishers, etc.) can create more value. This can be done in a lot of different ways -- technology, people, process, great ideas.
As agencies start to build tools that aggregate demand on top of the efficient supply mechanisms, they will still need to stay competitive by taking advantage of whatever value-creation mechanisms exist in the ecosystem. The business models of these companies don't really matter, what does matter is who creates value.
One of the biggest barriers -- and opportunities -- as the environment develops is that every player will be running a closed garden. The agency platforms you mentioned are by nature closed, ad networks are closed, portals are closed, publishers are closed. The exchanges are closest to being truly open, but they all have their own limitations and business model drivers that lead them to block off data.
Fundamentally all the different kinds of structures -- as long as they create value -- can exist. Look at financial markets. It's not a great analogy but it's helpful. The stock markets are kind of open, but there is a huge diversity of valuable organizations (trading houses, mutual funds, hedge funds, brokers, day traders, etc. etc.) that co-exist in the marketplace on top of the markets. I see the display space being potentially as vibrant.
It's all about value creation.
The Ad Network landscape is fairly balkanized. Is it inevitable that the same fate awaits DSP's? Is that necessarily a bad outcome for DSPs? If not why and how can it be avoided?
When we talk about adding value, what do think the smart ad networks and DSP's need to do together so that 1+1=3
Where do you see ad optimizers. Are they considered an ad network in your worldview?